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12/19/09

GLOBAL ECONOMY - THE YEAR THAT WAS NOT LOST

Throughout the year 2009, we constantly hear phrases like these: "The year 2009 is lost" or "a year to forget" all due to the crisis in the global economy in 2008 and other specific crises that occurred during 2009 . But we got to the end of this conclusion and that has is that it was a lost year, but the lessons and adjustments by all, market, business, industries and even governments. The latter that most concerns. Markets (the capital) have taken precautions and reflected the scarcity of credit, but leave strengthened, because as companies are restructured during the crisis, it now reflects the results of that restructuring. In the foreign exchange market, we saw the strengthening of the dollar lately, against other currencies, both the euro and the real and other currencies. I will not discuss this subject here, because it will be the subject of the next posting will be missed, will address the currency market and the profits they could generate for companies and individuals who are seeking applications for the year 2010, it is worth remembering which is a market that moves more than 2 trillion dollars a day. Further analysis of 2009 to 2010 is concerned with public spending, governments in 2008/2009 had to inject money into the market, large firms and to provide credit to all in order to soften the effects of international financial crisis, this has created huge deficits in public accounts, on the other hand had to live with a sharp drop in tax revenue arising from the economic downturn, it added to the drop in exports due to the decrease of foreign trade. All these factors have led governments to possess deficits. With the gradual warming in business and economic growth, which is feared is the return of inflation by strengthening the dollar, the product called "commodity", ie those products traded on commodity futures and commodities, which has its price fixed by international price in U.S. dollars. Governments are still spending, public works initiated during the crisis and to mitigate its effects, can not undergo any change of continuity is thus established a delicate situation that should be well managed, at the risk of returning inflation to the fiscal imbalance . The measures to be taken are already known, namely, fiscal austerity, cuts unnecessary spending, and tightening the surveillance.

11/30/09

EFFECT DUBAI

This Monday, the markets dawned more aware of the crisis of Dubai and its
effects may influence the markets and future investments. The global financial crisis
still latent here and there come up with even a few isolated cases, banks or institutions financial need to adjust to the new reality. This is just an adjustment, is like playing a stone in a lake, the epicenter of the crisis was the United States, however, the latest waves are appearing in the Persian Gulf. Here, what is worth remembering that we can no longer overlook the finance, the world lives and survives confidence, this is the most coveted currency in the current context. The money should be well maintained, financial institutions should be less exposed possible markets hazardous, must constantly reassess their positions, their spray investments, placing them in various markets. The effect serves Dubai, so we have a mind always on the alert because an institution with more debt than the government itself makes it difficult to manage.

11/28/09

SWINE FLU AND A GOVERNMENT THAT DOES NOT LOVE YOUR PEOPLE

This Blog is not a health or varieties, but business, especially business on line, but,I can not omit or fail and to warn readers of this blog, about the overwhelming and deadly swine flu that now sweeps the country Especially the attitudes of the Lula government against the problem, which has been almost total failure, is interest and lack commitment and love for the people Brazil. With more than 75% approval rating is found in condition to do what they want and leave those who die have to die. Are currently more than a hundred families who are living the pain and nightmare of having a relative as the victim of this fatal flu, here is my affection and condolences to the families for the loss of their relatives, but also my serious protest against the government that turns its back on his people, when it most needs. What worries are statistics and projections for the future, totally dark and omitted government, with the excuse not to cause panic among the population, however, let them. It is estimated by the government that 168,000,000 (one hundred sixty eight million) of Brazilians will be affected by the swine flu, with a mortality rate that varies around 0.5% to 3.2% of those infected, this gives us an overview of the Nazi holocaust, that is, 840,000 (eight hundred and forty thousand) to 5,000,000 (five million) of Brazilian killed by the end of passage of the virus around the country, which is also estimated at six to eight months. The vaccine has already been announced, will come only in 2010, when the virus will have already completed their cycle trip to Brazil and done the damage are expected. The only known remedies are touted Tamiflu and Relenza, with prices exceeding the $ 100.00 (one hundred dollars) each box and not currently available in pharmacies. The leaders are not worried, because when you sneeze, just travel in jet particularly to hospitals Albert Eisnteim Syrian or Lebanese, both international reference that all the medical staff will be waiting to serve them promptly. And the middle class, the
employees and large the poor, unemployed or earning minimum wage, which you do? Only if you can, go to a screening station, wait for hours, do a test to after three days back and know the result .... but ... can not return .... will be being veiled in some street .... .... .... in a house in any city in the country.

7/6/09

The economic deterioration WORLD
Author: Rubens da Cunha Mariobo

In recent weeks we see an interesting move by the richest economies, to find solutions to the sectors affected by financial crisis and to the economies of countries as a whole.
The solutions distune the current scenario, both the shyness and consequent inefficiencies that are already taking, and by slow already advertising the four corners of the planet by several experts in the subject.
That, I believe, will be decisive for our future, the future of the economy and the future of countries.
The reasons are simple, clear and unambiguous, the accelerated deterioration of the economies of the major companies and therefore too small, will soon disappear large corporations, leading to empty.
Small also suffer, since many of them orbiting around the large.
So what to do? The answer is in government, it is repetitive, but true. Only governments may in time act to stop the crisis.
The sectors affected are in agony, they see their assets, their lives and their story soon disappear with amazing speed.
There are companies that have lost 100 billion dollars in shareholder value, shareholders simply is disposing of the shares, taking the stock value to almost zero, they are simply disappearing from night to day, is a question of time, in fact, of very little time.
The delay in the implementation of effective solutions, will make the process of deterioration becomes virtually irreversible. You can never play with time, it is a determining factor.
There is a saying that economic well-known saying, "is not the biggest wins that is the lesser, is the fastest that wins the slowest."
When it shortens the time for solving a problem, in fact it reduces the risk and injury, and makes recovery possible.
The aid of billions of dollars that governments are promising, has not appeared in some cases not be more precise, they broke.
With the continuity of this lethargy, another crisis will explode, it will be much more serious, is the crisis of the public sector.
There will be sharp in the collection and without the huge taxes they guess the big corporations, there will be unemployment in the public sector, lack of contracts, an increase of service in public sectors, in order to chaos is the chaos.
We will see the chaos in the provision of public services has already witnessed this day in queues of hospitals in the care of patients in corridors and in this time of great collections. How will in times of scarce revenues?
The time to act and is very fast, that the measures that may have some impact is delayed and will not result immediately. Should be measured in infrastructure and these take time to get started and a time for even greater return on investment.
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